The senior economist who earned the nickname “Dr. Doom” after accurately predicting the 2008 monetary disaster has ridiculed transplanted New Yorkers for “stupidly” relocating to Solar Belt states through the pandemic.
Nouriel Roubini, the New York College economics professor and the CEO of the consultancy agency Roubini Macro Associates, thinks those that fled the Huge Apple for Florida or Texas would have been wiser to as a substitute relocate to the Midwest.
“A lot of real estate is going to be stranded because of global climate change,” Roubini informed the “Odd Lots” podcast on Bloomberg. “People have stupidly moved from New York to Miami, and from San Francisco to Austin, but Florida is going to be flooded and Texas is going to be too hot to survive there.”
The most recent information on migration traits from latest years present that tens of 1000’s of People have relocated from high-tax states corresponding to New York, California, and Illinois in favor of extra inexpensive locales corresponding to Florida, Texas, the Carolinas, and Georgia.
However Roubini thinks they made a mistake, telling “Odd Lots”: “Literally there are maps that show that half of the US in the next 20 years is going to be either underwater on the coastlines or too hot, or droughts or wildfires, to be living in it.”
“So, there will have to be a massive migration from the South and the coastlines towards the only part of the US that is going to survive climate change, [which] is the Midwest into essentially Canada,” he mentioned.
“So there’ll be trillions of dollars of real estate assets that are going to be damaged by essentially global climate change.”
Roubini urged traders to go for actual property belongings in addition to short-term authorities bonds, inflation-indexed bonds, and gold. He mentioned these are “assets that will hedge them against inflation, political and geopolitical risks, and environmental damage.”
Roubini mentioned actual property is “a good hedge against inflation as long as monetary policy is not very tight.”
He predicted that the Federal Reserve, which has aggressively raised rates of interest in an effort to chill down red-hot inflation, would ultimately “wimp out” with the hikes.
“I think that real estate is going to outperform equities because of the nature of being a fixed-supply kind of asset, that is in the short run,” Roubini predicted.
He urged traders to take local weather change into consideration.
“You have to find the types of investment in the right parts of the United States,” Roubini mentioned.
His feedback have been transcribed by Fortune.
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